Idea:
Use prediction markets; Simple, permissionless bets, to drive activity on Namada.
Think: “Will NAM be over $0.10 by August 1?” or “Will Proposal X pass?”
These markets:
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Let users signal beliefs with capital
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Create organic usage (speculation, hedging, signaling, fun)
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Showcase Namada’s edge: private, on-chain bets — no public positions
Why it matters for Namada:
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Brings in new users/builders
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Drives both shielded and unshielded volume
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Highlights privacy as a differentiator
How it works (today, no upgrade needed):
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Two users agree on a bet
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Funds go into a 2-of-3 multisig (Alice, Bob, Oracle)
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Each pre-signs conditional transactions
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Oracle signs the real outcome
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Only the valid TX can be executed — winner takes all
Inspired by Bitcoin DLCs. Built on Namada’s existing tools: off-chain coordination + multisig + a signing oracle (e.g., TWAP from Osmosis or Neutron).
What I’m asking:
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Does this sound interesting to you?
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Would you use or help prototype something like this?
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Any pitfalls or edge cases we’re missing?
Bonus: Could test with a Discord bot and soft incentives (“First 50 NAM bet is free”) to bootstrap usage.
Let me know if you’re in.
I’d love to hear feedback or team up on a simple proof of concept.